Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. Only Chandler Jones and Aaron Donald have more sacks since the start of 2017. Bakhtiari, likewise, is blocked by Tyron Smith. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. Around the NFL Writer. If McCaffrey can piece together even two more seasons at his 2019 level and add two or three more like his 2018 campaign, that might be enough to make it to the Hall of Fame. In the running (40% to 69%): S Eddie Jackson. While James is closer to the 69% end of the spectrum here, Bosa's more toward 40%. While Hunter's chances are probably somewhere in the 65% range, Smith is closer to the lower end of the spectrum in the 40% zone. The guy who hasn't played a single NFL snap? So maybe the best thing for Johnson and Texans fans is to be patient. If you think this is too early for the 2019 seventh overall pick, think again. Witten is also the only Hall of Fame candidate on the Raiders' roster. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . The site navigation utilizes arrow, enter, escape, and space bar key commands. This trio is. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. The Hall is forgiving of running backs, and Bell's versatility should age well, but he has missed a lot of time through injuries, suspensions and his 2018 holdout. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. . Watson has earned Pro Bowl nods in each of his first two full seasons as a starter, which is easier for quarterbacks than it is for most other positions. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Le'Veon Bell, LB C.J. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. Unless Evans has a Powell-esque decline or gets radically overshadowed by a teammate la Holt with Isaac Bruce, then Evans seems to have a good chance to get into the Hall eventually. Allen will have a tougher time (presumably) without Yannick Ngakoue or Calais Campbell around in 2020, but he's off to a great start. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. Below them are the players who are In the running (between 40% and 69%), and then the players who have Work to do to get on the Hall of Fame radar, who come in between 10% and 39%. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. 1 pick and winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that hasn't historically been a helpful combination. Greg Rajan is the senior editor for Texas Sports Nation, the Houston Chronicle's sports website, and also curates the daily TXSN newsletter and writes about sports media. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. With three rushing titles, a 2,000-yard season and an MVP award in his trophy room, Peterson will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. He'll have a better shot once reunited with Kyle Shanahan in San Francisco. CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND He had a wasted 2019 season, as he went down with a high ankle sprain in Week 3 and averaged 3.2 yards per carry over his next seven games after returning, but 2020 should see Barkley return to form. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. Worthy Hall of Fame (HOF) NFL Wide Receivers: The shoo-ins Let's start by running through five obvious cases of overly-qualified receivers who have not yet been enshrined. (Justin Simmons, who was one of the NFL's best safeties a year ago, is still waiting for his first Pro Bowl appearance.). When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Manning won two Super Bowls with the Giants, winning MVP both times. Quarterbacks like Ken Anderson, Boomer Esiason and Steve McNair won league MVP without earning enshrinement. Football Insiders with Trey Wingo. Lock (100%): QB Patrick Mahomes. 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He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . I'm right there in the 50/50 range. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. He's going to get in on the first ballot. Rodgers is a three-time All-Pro, a member of the 2010s All-Decade Team and so much more. That might bode well for Suggs case, especially with the premium placed on pass rushers in the modern NFL. He's in line behind guys like Atkins unless the USC product continues to make Pro Bowls deep into his 30s. Henry plays a Hall-friendly position and just won a rushing title. Mosley. DeCastro has five consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and two All-Pro nods; if Faneca can't get in with nine consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and five All-Pro shots, DeCastro still has a lot of work to do. He has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls, although his only first-team All-Pro nod came in 2017. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. Gore had the misfortune of playing for some bad San Francisco and Indianapolis teams, but his numbers are certainly impressive. Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. He has made four Pro Bowls and was a first-team All-Pro in 2012, but there are just too many offensive linemen with more impressive rsums who have struggled to get in for Brown to have much of a chance. Also, if a guy enters the league at a young age, he could theoretically have a longer NFL career, which would give him more time in the second half (or post-peak portion) of his career to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. Kamara was also Offensive Rookie of the Year, which helps his chances further. Watt is off to a dominant start, having racked up 34.5 sacks over three seasons while earning two Pro Bowl nods and a first-team All-Pro berth last season. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit The Notre Dame product probably needs a second one to have a viable shot at Canton. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. DT | LB | CB | Safety The shrine in Canton, Ohio, is one that hasnt been easy to gain membership in through the years. A score of 100 is around the average modern-era inductee. Tickets go on sale on Wednesday, September 1st at: www.radiohalloffame.com. Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. Vander Esch's chances are stronger than his fellow linebacker because he was a first-round pick and made the Pro Bowl as a rookie, while Smith was a second-round pick and didn't make it until his third campaign. Jackson does an incredible job of avoiding hits and getting out of bounds, but there's naturally going to be questions about whether a quarterback can run the ball 10 times per game in the modern NFL and have a 15-year career as a starter. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Where does Evans slot in? Graham's case is interesting. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. Even if he slows down from here on out, Miller's going to the Hall. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. I mentioned the math for quarterbacks in the Bengals section; in Garrett's case, four of 26 non-QBs taken with the first overall pick since the merger have made it to the Hall. OBJ hasn't made a Pro Bowl since 2016, and while this could be a bounce-back year for the former Giants star, another middling campaign would push him into the "Work to do" tier. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Lamar Jackson, CB Marcus Peters, K Justin Tucker. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. The former Ozen High star and 14-year NBA vet has more on his mind than basketball, offering essays on life, his family and America. Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. I think Thomas is a prohibitive favorite to get in. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. Gates, a former college basketball player, had one of the greatest careers for an undrafted player, logging 16 seasons with the Chargers. In his other two seasons, he racked up a combined 23 sacks and made a pair of Pro Bowls. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones.