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Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. I would expect that to regress massively, especially on Bermudagrass, a surface that has historically been Svenssons worst over the years. Denny McCarthy: McCarthy had a great showing against a strong field last week and could be trending toward that first PGA Tour win. Shane Lowry: Lowry is hopefully getting on the right track again after a T-14 finish at Riviera. Somewhere along the line, you need to be able to save a par or two to win an event. He just split ways with his caddie that he has pretty much had since getting his PGA Tour card, and any caddie knows that a player will usually ball out the first week with a new caddie. 1, but Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm can make an argument for being the best. THINK YOU'RE BETTER THAN OUR EXPERTS? Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. World Golf Rankings 2022 Valero Texas Open fantasy picks, rankings, sleepers: Expert says back Jordan Spieth, fade Abraham Ancer Riley Gates revealed his PGA fantasy golf picks, lineup. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Here are our. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, and find out. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf rankings for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, all from the fantasy expert with his finger on the pulse of the game, and find out. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. He finished T-3 at this event two years ago and now hes ready to seal the deal. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. American Express: Cameron Young. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). For years, we have offered weekly PGA Tour one-and-done golf picks, taking. He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. There are key metrics that serve as early indicators for when tour pros appear on the verge of a breakout season. You can only see his fantasy. Hes got three top-10s to his name on tour since July without great form surrounding them. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) While Aaron Wise was a popular breakout candidate pick at the start of the season, its undeniable that he has not gotten off to the start that many were hoping for. The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. While Cam Davis appears like hes hurt or is terrible now based on his past few outings. Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2023 Pebble Beach Picks. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. McClure is a DFS pro with over $2 million in career winnings, and he's been red-hot on his PGA Tour picks this season. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. Thomas Detry: Why rate Detry so high this week? If he isn't locked in, he could find some trouble. Eligibility restrictions apply. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers from the 2023 Genesis Invitational field. Hes a name to watch. And could Woods (120-1) be worth a flier? Recently, weve seen the irons get hot at certain times, too. American Express: Brian Harman. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. On top of that, he lives in West Palm Beach, so this is a home game for him. Fortunately, putting tends to have massive swings to the positive and negative each week, so if Conners can continue to strike the ball as well as he did in 2020, its just going to take an average putting performance or two to find his second tour win. McClure is also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every tournament 10,000 times, taking factors like statistical trends, past results and current form into account. Thats normally his bread and butter so to see him struggle there is raising massive red flags. For the 2022 BMW Championship, Gates is touting a massive sleeper for fantasy rosters who is priced at less than $7,000 at DraftKings . Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. 6. And with all three of the top guys in action this week, setting your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf rankings won't be simple, either. And which undervalued golfer is a must-roster? Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. But his play on and around the greens is bound to regress to his typical level. Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win? Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. See more in GNN's affiliate disclosure. Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. Gambling Problem? Rais results have gotten progressively better the past three weeks, and he was sitting T-5 after one round here last year in his debut. Just hope this is the week it all click for him. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. While never great with the flat stick, that was his worse run since 2009. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere. He tied for second at the Shriners earlier this season and shot 12 under on the weekend to surge to T-16 at the Sentry his last time out. Mayo: Aaron Rai (60-1, DraftKings) Many have noted that PGA National has a track record of crossover with Open Championship and links success. His five top-10 finishes since July arent fluky: They stem from top-tier iron play and overall tee-to-green performance. The cold putter is nothing new, but he has experienced a modicum of success on the PGA National greens in his career. One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. Redman is proving to be one of the more talented ball-strikers on tour, finishing 11th in strokes gained/approach for the 2020 seasonand he has already improved his putting, lifting him to two top-four finishes in six starts in the new season. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron Wise? Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Their names? Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. In fact, his last three tournaments in the states were on the Korn ferry Tour where he missed two cuts and didnt finish in the top 25 in the other. Mayo: Eric Cole (+900, DraftKings) A veteran of the Florida Minor League Golf system, Coles gained on approach in six of his last seven starts, and now returns to familiar Bermudagrass on the greens. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. But victories arent always the only barometer of success. And theres still 140 players after that. Hell see a reprieve in this weaker field and he should be brimming with confidence. Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Russell Henley, Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama and Xander Schauffele. We've now cashed outright winners the past two weeks, so jump on board and scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Honda Classic. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. 7. The 30-year-old. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. My guy Joe Idone (@TourPicks on Twitter, go follow him if you dont already) is the king of the Honda Classic, and Denny is his guy hes picking Denny Dirt to break through this week, and Im completely on board. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Investing in Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama is a great way to guarantee production, but each player comes with a hefty price tag on both sites. He also has the third-highest salary on DraftKings, but his placement odds are more reasonableso I think hes a smart top-10 or top-20 bet. Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. From Gehman: As golf wagering becomes more mature, you will be presented with many different optionsand the first-round leader market is incredibly fun but also have more strategy involved than you might think. Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. Our job is to pick the guys who wont be made to look like fools at PGA National's Champion course this week. This is the first tournament of the year with a full complement of Poa Annua greens. By Pat Mayo May 1, 2022, 3:41pm PDT He was in the top 10 in every one. If his game travels at all this week, he should be a solid option in most formats. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. Overall, the last six winners have all been either 30/1 or below (Spieth, Mickelson and Berger) or 100/1 or longer. On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (+100) over Cameron Davis (DraftKings) Sneaky bullish this week on Ben Griffin, a North Carolina man through and through who does well on Bermuda and is a machine on approach. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Lack: Lee Hodges (50-1, DraftKings) Lee Hodges came through for me last week in a big way on DraftKings and the top-20 market, and I see no reason to hop off now that we are traveling to a course that he finished ninth at last year, gaining strokes in all four major categories. From Pat Mayo, Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National analyst: Based on the amount of times he contended in 2020, its rather shocking Scheffler didnt break through and win. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. Matthew Fitzpatrick, Viktor Hovland, and AT&T sponsored Jordan Spieth headline the field of the once historic tournament. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. NeSmiths more of a daily fantasy target on FanDuel than someone who is knocking at the door for a victory, but all of the underlying data is there to believe in a strong season. Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Anyone who has followed Holliman's predictions is way up on their golf picks. The Honda Classic, once an event that tracked tons of top pros including Tiger Woods, has its weakest field in recent memory, with not a single player inside the top 17 in the world rankings teeing it up at PGA National this week. His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. The result: Rahm finished on top of the leaderboard, securing his eighth PGA Tour title after shooting 27-under par. He was in the bottom 10-percentile in strokes gained/putting and was 237th of 280 players in SG/around the greens. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. 2022: The winner checked in at $8,500 and scored 25.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2021: The winner checked in at $10,100 and scored 21 more DK points than anyone else, 2020: The winner checked in at $7,000 and scored 23.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2019: The winner checked in at $9,600 and scored 19.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2018: The winner checked in at $7,100 and scored 20 more DK points than anyone else. "It's a matter of when (not if) he gets his first on the PGA Tour," Holliman said of Kim. You can see it at SportsLine. RELATED: The 9 bets you should make right now for 2021. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. He is a scratch golfersometimes. Several of the world's top golfers come into this week's PGA Tour event in top form, and they should have little trouble scoring low in The American Express 2023. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Why an early morning par from a club pro to make the cut at Bay Hill made seven other tour pros very, very happy, Players 2023: The Bomb and Gouge era is over. Daily Fantasy Golf Tips Digest data and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and check out our PGA Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. Anybody that included him in their lineups was well on the way to a profitable weekend. World Golf Rankings 2022 Players Championship one and done picks, fantasy golf predictions, PGA betting advice from DFS expert Mike McClure has locked in his PGA one and done picks and. Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, and find out. Thats some great early-season value on a top-tier all-around golfer whose performance is grounded in elite data. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Gdula: Cameron Davis (-110) over Sepp Straka (FOXBet) Davis holds a massive tee-to-green advantage over Straka, who goes as his putter goes. Now, the Genesis result wasnt pretty, but a deeper dive into his numbers shows an excellent ball-striking week submarined by weak chipping and outright disastrous putting. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes are the only two players to hit more than 100 drives over 300 yards at Pebble Golf Links during this event. Caddie: Min Woo Lee (25-1, BetMGM) As the fifth-highest odds this week, DK believes this guy has a chance to make some noise. McClure's model included J.T. Sungjae Im is still showing up like he always does, and guys like Aaron Wise, Shane Lowry and Denny McCarthy will be in Palm Beach looking for a signature win. He got his first PGA Tour win five tournaments ago on a course with Bermuda greens as well. Im secured a T-13 finish at last week's Sentry Tournament of Champions and he'll enter this week's event confident he can have another strong showing in Hawaii. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Its wild to think about this, but if you put Henleys statistical profile next to Justin Thomas, they look very similar, aside from JTs elite off-the-tee game. The Honda Classic Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings GOLF Zach Thompson Feb 22, 2023 Article PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for The Honda Classic GOLF Landon Silinsky Feb 22, 2023 Article Honda Classic PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values GOLF Matthew Vincenzi Feb 21, 2023 Article Before setting your fantasy golf rankings or making any 2023 Genesis Invitational picks, you need to see the fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine fantasy expert Jim Holliman. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. The 28-year-old leads the tour in scoring average and strokes gained total. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Holliman also was behind Will Zalatoris (28-1) at the St. Jude and was on the money at the Wyndham Championship, with Tom Kim (35-1) among his selections. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. 11:51 am ET, see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, PGA DFS: 2023 Sony Open picks, lineups, advice, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The 2023 The Honda Classic is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the PGA Tour event at PGA Natonal's Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens, Fla. Every week, we share our PGA Tour player rankings, and they are agnostic of competition. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. RELATED: 15 signs you watch too much golf on TV. Hennessey: Chris Kirk As I mentioned above, I love Kirk as a top-10 bet this weekand though he might not have the winning equity youd want in a One and Done bet, the consistency is reason to go with him here. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. From Mayo: Three top-10s (including at the Masters) over his final four starts in 2020 showcases what eventually could be for the Canadian if he could make a few more seven-foot putts in 2021. While Scheffler was routinely priced up in the betting markets against weaker fields, the 24-year-old actually did his best work among the elites. Genesis: Justin Thomas. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Golf Betting and Fantasy Picks: 10 players who will make you money in 2021, make informed decisions regarding betting on golf tournaments and daily fantasy golf competitions. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated after each round. This mitigates the advantage of the premier drivers in the world, aka most of the elite players, and combined with a lack of elite golfers at the top end in this event, it has opened the door for long-shot winners. Anyone who has followed Holliman's predictions is way up on their golf picks. The tournament, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, features a pro-am format and a 54-hole cut. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) McCarthy has missed just one cut (Phoenix) in his last nine starts and has threatened the top of the board in Bermuda (T-6), Pebble Beach (T-4) and Genesis (T-14). Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/IL) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN only) or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA only) or 1-800-522-4700 (CO Only) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. On the other hand, Xander Schauffele has weaknesses that could prove costly at Riviera, so the expert is fading him. Golf DFS Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo makes his 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks while breaking down the field and rankings for the event and previewing the course and key stats. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Expert Picks THE TOUR. While his irons let him down at the South Course during the Farmers, his putter certainly did not, and Pebble is a totally different layout for approaches.